hardly.. I would say our current pres still has all the college "bandwagon folks"
Palin, beck and the like have always been unappealing. Ron Paul has most all of the cannabis users in the country (significant), dissatisfied demo's and less than nutty rep's.

What he has going against him is... the party system, people don't like to waste their vote, and if they believe Ron Paul cant compete on the same level.. they'll go with the old standby, vote for your party, not the cannidate.