New Prop 19 poll results released....

[WillyNilly]

Here's another poll:

Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize, regulate, and tax marijuana in California, is still holding on to a very narrow lead according to a new SurveyUSA poll.

SurveyUSA (10/15-10/18)
California voters may also vote on several propositions. On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you â?¦ Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? {Not Certain voters were asked: At this hour, on Proposition 19, do you â?¦ lean toward yes? lean toward no, or do you not lean?}
Certain Yes 48
Certain No 44
Not Certain 8

A SurveyUSA poll from early this month found Prop 19 winning 48 percent â??yes,â?� -41 percent â??no.â?� As expected with most ballot measures, it appears the undecided are breaking toward â??no,â?� although the change is within the margin of error.

Importantly, the number of likely voters who plan to vote for Prop 19 seems to be holding remarkably steady. Almost every poll has found the percentage of voters planning to vote for the initiative hovering right around 50 percent.

Given the remarkable lack of movement in the polls, the incredibly high voter awareness of the ballot measure and the tendency for undecideds to break against an initiative, itâ??s passage or failure is going to come down to turnout. The young people who overwhelming support Prop 19 donâ??t tend to turnout in midterm elections, but if they do, they could put the initiative over the top. Either way, it will likely be an extremely close vote.

CA Marijuana Initiative Prop 19 Still Leading, 48-44 | Elections

Get your friends out there! Don't sit at home.

[Chronic Future]

thats funny you would think prop 19 is only thing on the ballot lol

[boaz]

thats funny you would think prop 19 is only thing on the ballot lol

you mean there are other stuff on the ballot this year, too??? :jointsmile:

[brynpav]

you mean there are other stuff on the ballot this year, too??? :jointsmile:

maybe with 19 passing Illinois will get it's head out of it's ass. Could you guys please pass this less then perfect law so at least we can get the ball rolling?

What's with Oakland, CA? It's like a mini Amsterdam

to the future

[WillyNilly]

thats funny you would think prop 19 is only thing on the ballot lol

Of course not. It's just the main topic on this board. I vote in every election and on all the props.

19, 21, 24, 25 yes. All others, no.

[StoneMeadow]

Here's a good synopsis of the state of the polling and money...from 7pm tonight.

Campaigns for marijuana measure, Prop. 19, heating up

[boaz]

^ Interesting. think I'm gonna buy my next suit from the Men's Warehouse. not sure why Zimmerman is a supporter but pretty cool of him, I thought.

my complaint about this article is this.

"Both sides in the fight over the Nov. 2 ballot measure to legalize recreational pot use in California are turning up the heat this week, and it will likely get hotter as the final reel plays out in the final days of the campaigns."

I've said this before on here but I think the supporters really need to squash this notion that Prop 19 will "legalize recreational pot use in California". thats just bullshit. it legalizes a 25 sf garden space for adults. how they use it, medically or whatever, is their business. Prop 19 kills this crazy notion that you need a doctors rec and permission from the state to grow a small personal garden for your own personal use. nothing else.

but, I guess you can't expect the old media to really give a fuck what they say as long they sell some papers. :twocents:

[boaz]

oh yeah, and here is the part I liked.

"Also Friday, new polls came out to proclaim momentum on both sides.

Opponents of Prop. 19 touted a survey by the Los Angeles Times and University of Southern California showing just 39 percent support for the measure and 51 percent of voters saying they will vote against it.

Supporters of Prop. 19 coughed up their own poll showing voters backing their side 56 percent to 41 percent when respondents are allowed to give automated answers rather than live ones. Both studies leave undecided voters in the middle who have yet to lean."

that sounds like a significant effect. this, and the fact that WillyNilly mentioned that they didn't call cell phones, which would include all young voters, I would say its on the ropes but far from down for the count.

[SSCash]

Most of these "poll numbers" are taken from areas where the oppositions are unbalanced, so when one newspaper, magazines, website, etc. releases one show of results in votes, you are bound to find something drastically different from another group. We will know the real answer come Nov 2nd. :rastabanna:

[StoneMeadow]

oh yeah, and here is the part I liked.

"Supporters of Prop. 19 coughed up their own poll showing voters backing their side 56 percent to 41 percent when respondents are allowed to give automated answers rather than live ones. Both studies leave undecided voters in the middle who have yet to lean."

that sounds like a significant effect. this, and the fact that WillyNilly mentioned that they didn't call cell phones, which would include all young voters, I would say its on the ropes but far from down for the count.

Yes, this whole question of who they are calling, and how (live answer or automated...) raises important questions about how reliable polling is on controversial questions. Asking someone how they are going to vote on an issue like legalizing mj is NOT like asking who they will vote for for the State Assembly. There is no threat of getting on a Big Brother watch list you if you vote for a non-mainstream candidate for the Assembly. OTOH, people have well-grounded fears of the Gov't if they start voting for something as vehemently opposed by the Gov't as mj is.

I don't mean to ramp up anyone's paranoia, because I honestly don't subscribe to conspiracy theories, but by the same token I understand that folks might hesitate to answer such questions honestly.

In any case, we will know who is correct come next Tuesday night. And in the meantime, if you are a registered voter, PLEASE drag your sorry carcase out of bed and go vote YES on 19! :thumbsup:

All it will take is for good people to not vote for this measure to fail...