Today CNN moved Virginia from "tossup" to "leans Obama." That gives Obama 277 electoral votes, which is more than the 270 needed to win. Obama is more than 100 electoral votes ahead of McCain and has more than enough to win at this point. It's not a lock, but it is a huge advantage to Obama at this point. As long as he and the Democrats don't get complacent or make any huge mistakes, I think Obama will win.