I'm surprised at how close it is in the polls.

I think some of the polling models for determining a representative sample of voters are probably more out of whack than usual this year. I think there will be turnout from groups of people who usually don't vote, and I don't think they are getting counted in the polls.

I also think things get a bit volatile in the polling right after the conventions because of all the excitement and the short-term bounce. It should settle down a bit and start to trend more predictably once the hype dies down and the candidates get back to issues. It's going to be interesting so see if the Palin hype lasts or fades.

I am defniitely surprised at how close it is, because I expected the Dems to have a stronger advantage considereing Bush's unpopularity. The Democrats have made the mistake in the past of thinking there was no way they could lose. I'm hoping they didn't do that again.

I expect that once we get some side-by-side comparisions in the debates, and people start thinking about issues like the economy, jobs, energy and healthcare, it will break one way or the other. I think Obama wins on the issues, so I expect him to re-open that gap.
dragonrider Reviewed by dragonrider on . Obama and McCain dead even again Rasmussen Reportsā?¢: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. Even though I'm voting McCain you would think Obama with all his support would be able to put the old man down. :hippy: Rating: 5