Well, technically, realclearpolitics.com (which averages 10 or so of the country's top polls) has had them at a statistical dead heat for a while. You have to consider the +/- margin of error, which is generally three points...The Rasmussen poll most likely reflects just a post-convention bump that most candidates get. Obama is definitely included. As the Palin information regarding troopergate and other scandals comes out, the numbers will drop by more than most politicos can even imagine.