On the face of it, it sounds like you have a legit argument for innocence, however you say your ex is "high strung" so she might act as a wild card at your hearing. That said,
my advice is if you find yourself in a similar situation in the future, if you can't take your stuff when you bail, cut your losses and get on with your life. To paraphrase: hell hath no fury like a "high strung" lover scorned." Best of luck!