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01-03-2008, 12:17 AM #1OPSenior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Any predictions? Last I saw on the news they were predicting Obama for the Dems and Huckabee for the Republicans.
Have a good one!:s4:Psycho4Bud Reviewed by Psycho4Bud on . Iowa Caucus! Any predictions? Last I saw on the news they were predicting Obama for the Dems and Huckabee for the Republicans. Have a good one!:s4: Rating: 5
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01-03-2008, 06:35 AM #2Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Let's see who the media is talking about
[YOUTUBE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OrsROPaaQTM[/YOUTUBE]
It's nice to have somebody like Wolf Blitzer repeat the exact same thing I was talking about in the other thread about how the polls are not accurate at gauging support for Ron Paul. Let's see how inaccurate they are, I'm going to bet 3rd based on the nothing I know about the political landscape in Iowa, we'll see.
I think Obama will take the democrat side, I hope the small support from Kucinich will be enough, as long as Satan doesn't win I'll be happy.
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01-03-2008, 05:18 PM #3Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
So we've got Wolf, Pat Buchanan and these other analysts saying Paul will do well,3rd in Iowa and even better in the Live Free or Die state.
Then last night the C-SPAN call-in hour was a Ron Paul Revolution jukebox, with caller after caller from Iowa saying they were either disgruntled Republicans voting for Paul, or dissatisfied Democrats for the good Doctor, or Independents for Paul and new voters formerly apathetic toward politics. It's an obvious landslide for Dr. Paul. We all know the polls are inaccurate, as Mr. Blitzer mentioned. But he only brushed on the idea that these 'scientific' polls pool from 'Likely Republican Voters' from the last election...so hardliner GOP Bushies. So if Paul is polling at 7% in Iowa amongst this group, then you tack on all the other people, like me (voted Kerry in '04). He probably actually garners close to 25%!
So I think it's feasible Iowa concludes as such:
GOP
#1 Mike Huckabee (although he isn't as organized here, it's the evangelical vote and that smoooooth talking)
#2 Ron Paul (freedom is popular!)
#3 Mitt Romney (it's partially the religion paradigm in these parts)
Satan will probably get the dem nod, but not Iowa...although I'd rather see Kucinich, but that is not going to happen.
DEMS
#1 Edwards
#2 Hillary
#2 Obama
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01-03-2008, 08:33 PM #4OPSenior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Originally Posted by 420izzle
GOP
1) Huckabee.......has really picked up the pace
2) Romney....spent ALOT of cash there
3) McCain....the comeback ghost
Ron Paul may have placed better but the college crowd is home for vacation right now.
DEMS
1) Obama...by a VERY small margin
2) Hillary....offering enough "free" incentives to get votes
3) Edwards...with very poor numbers
Have a good one!:s4:
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01-03-2008, 08:40 PM #5Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Gop
1) Huckabee...has picked up a lot of support recently
2) Paul...more support than the nation thinks
3) Romney...he still has lots of money to dump in this campaign
Dems
1) Obama...nothing good to say
2) Hillary...nothing good to say
3) Edwards...nothing good to say
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01-03-2008, 09:07 PM #6Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
GOP
1) Huckabee --- Bible thumper
2) Romney --- money
3) Not sure, but maybe McCain.
For the RP supporters, I have doubts that the Ron Paul message will play well in Iowa. However, motivation and organization count for a lot in the caucus process, so maybe he will surpirse people --- and getting into the top 3 would count as a big surprise.
Dems
1) Hillary --- has the best organization for turning out the caucus voters and a pretty reliable base
2) Obama --- counting on a lot of younger people and first time caucus voters, so his support is less reliable
3) Edwards --- not going to do very well in IowaMore of the same: Renger\'s Rantings
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01-03-2008, 10:43 PM #7Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Oh, what the hey...
Dem:
Obama
Hillary
Edwards
Rep:
Huckabee
Romney
Paul
I'm still hoping Paul will end up 2nd, but not sure enough to prognosticate on it.
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01-04-2008, 12:34 AM #8Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Dems:
Obama
Edwards
Hillary
GOP:
Huckabee
Paul
Romney
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01-04-2008, 01:40 AM #9Senior Member
Iowa Caucus!
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01-04-2008, 03:01 AM #10OPSenior Member
Iowa Caucus!
Results coming in...........
DEMS
1) Obama.....37%
2) Edwards and Clinton........30%
4) Richardson....2%
GOP
1) Huckabee.......34%
2) Romney.......25%
3) Thompson...14%
4) McCain....13%
I didn't expect Thompson to be third and as they predicted, the college vote wasn't there for Ron Paul.
Have a good one!:s4:
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