you have to understand that these polls are not going to be anything close to the primaries bacause alot of independents and dems are going to vote for RonPaul. He is polling at 8% among likely republican voters in NH. That doesnt count the 50%of the population in NH that considers themselves independents. This is also the state who voter for Buchanan not too long ago. Im a poly sci econ major and I have studied publilc opinion and elections, i believe Ron Paul will WIN new hamshire outright, especially since the GOP is still not very enthusiastic about ANY of their candidates. the political climate is ripe for a RP NH win and since its such a early primary who knows what will happen after that.