Marijuana America's Number 1 Cash Crop
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Originally Posted by Fengzi
I actually doubt that the prices would fall much if weed were legalized. In fact, it might go up in some places. The prices in any given area have pretty much already been set and are based on supply, demand, and what the local population can afford. Look at a product like Adobe Photoshop, a full legal copy is something like $600+. For a shitty little cd. Sure, a lot of r&d etc went into it but a lot goes into other software that only costs $50. So why is photoshop so expensive, because that's what people will pay. Once it's been established that people will pay a certain price it's unlikely that they'll go down.
Look at the situation in the cannabis clubs out here in California. This is weed which is being sold legally and which has been grown legally. Not to mention the fact that a huge portion of the domestic crop is grown here. Yet, prices in the cannabis clubs are as much, if not more, than what you'd pay for illegal weed.
If weed has traditionally been sold for $50-60 an 1/8th, it is doubtful that a legal seller would want to sell it for much less. It has already been established that such a price is acceptable. Yes, if the price falls more weed will potentially be sold for potentially greater profit. But that would level off pretty quickly. If the price of weed were to be cut in half the consumption level would need to double or more(given all other factors remain the same) in order to get the same amount of profit. But how many people would really double their consumption simply because the price has fallen? My guess is not too many.
What I could potentially see happening is a leveling off of prices across the country. You probably wouldn't see a situation like we have now where weed in San Francisco costs $60 an 1/8th and weed in Iowa costs $60 a 1/2. There might be some small regional differences to account for distribution costs but that is it. So, while the prices might go down a bit for some people they might go up for others.
Question for folks who've been to Amsterdam: What are the prices like there?
your COMPLETELY out to lunch, and your economic forecast is based on total misunderstanding:
1. weed is easy to grow, and remember, if it's legal we're talking fields and fields of it in Nebraska, like corn; big conglomerates would be in the position to mass produce and sell cheap. you would buy a pack of joints just as you would buy a pack of cigs; and i think it could easily be as cheap as tobacco. there would still be a place for specialty growers, but i don't think you get how dramatically the market would change. take a look at alcohol during prohibition and i think you're on the right track.
it would be funny to see all the hydro shops go out of biz, and no longer be able to say "oh, our customers are growing tomatoes indoors" :)
what you seem to totally miss is that SUPPLY would change by 100-fold, perhaps a 1000-fold. demand would go up as well, since folks that would avoid it because it's illegal no longer would, but the SUPPLY and the ease of sale is the main issue. you're still thinking in terms of it being an illegal substance
the photoshop example is also nuts. you're not paying for the plastic disc, you're paying for the complex and specialized software, which took an immense amount of effort to develop, plus there aren't many direct competitors
and you're still missing the point with the med-cannabis shops; they still have to get their bud through clandestine arrangements; they don't have fields of weed out back, if they did, the prices would be far different
and again with amsterdam: they don't have massive fields of green either; growers still have to keep things on the down-low for the most part. there's a difference between decriminalization and legalization. in DAM you can have 5plants but i don't believe the big seed companies and coffee-shop growers have a license to grow as much as they wish; i could be wrong there, though, not sure
Marijuana America's Number 1 Cash Crop
Quote:
Originally Posted by deftdrummer
Ya, but we're not just talking about growing pot anyways. We're talking about growing, maintaining, pruning, disposing of mass amounts of plant waste, drying, curing etc etc. It is an extensive process if done on a large scale industrial level. Not only that, but what do you figure several dozen 1,000 HPS lights on movers would cost electricity wise? I wouldn't dare say it would cost next to nothing, especially in warehouse size grows.
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH, how dense can you be? HID lighting buisness would be blown to shit
no one is going to grow inside, just like no one really uses hydro to grow basil in their fucking bedroom
just remember, FIELDS OF WEED. central california, kansas, nebraska, plenty of places in this country that could grow tons of weed. it is a very hearty plant.
ok, i can't take it anymore; please wake up everybody, you're still thinking about it as if it were something you need to hide
Marijuana America's Number 1 Cash Crop
The price would still be the same if the government or any company can get 150-200 per ounce thats what they will sell it as.The Canadian Government is selling their weed for 150 ounce and its shit weed.As far as growing it outside in your backyard good luck with that one,because once some high school kids find out you wont have a crop left people would still have to grow inside.As far as having fields and fields of weed in Nebraska how much is gonna be left when harvest comes around.You would have to build massive green houses and security which all costs money to implement and take care off so say goodbye to cheap weed.So if you want cheap weed your going to grow it in your basement otherwise youll be buying it from companies or government who are in it to make money.
Marijuana America's Number 1 Cash Crop
Quote:
Originally Posted by fishman3811
The price would still be the same if the government or any company can get 150-200 per ounce thats what they will sell it as.The Canadian Government is selling their weed for 150 ounce and its shit weed.As far as growing it outside in your backyard good luck with that one,because once some high school kids find out you wont have a crop left people would still have to grow inside.As far as having fields and fields of weed in Nebraska how much is gonna be left when harvest comes around.You would have to build massive green houses and security which all costs money to implement and take care off so say goodbye to cheap weed.So if you want cheap weed your going to grow it in your basement otherwise youll be buying it from companies or government who are in it to make money.
I think this is the most realistic thing that's been said on this thread. In Manitoba we have the largest gov't grow op and they are underground in an old mine. If weed goes legal or at least decriminalized there is money to be made by the gov't and for the weed industry we have.
You walk in and drop off a resume to grow weed for the gov't and you have included 10 years experience growing, show pictures, notes, and include samples and you'll get a job, hell they'll probably give you a fancy title.
Not to mention that the gov't would probably buy weed of certain standards off private growers. Not to mention some investers with the buck to do it are going to jump on the wagon for their chunk of dough. Think of all the cigarette companies out there, gov't regulated but still open for companies to put out new brands, and employ new people.
Then there's the fact that you will still have a source of steady loyal customers due to reputation, and the fact that people hate giving the gov't cash even if it is just tax.
Plus how many people are going to come out of the closet and take up smoking once it's legal. Weed could compare to alcohol and tobbacco, look at the possible un tapped market and possibility for eveyone.
Squirmy babe, gotta go
Marijuana America's Number 1 Cash Crop
Oh yeah around hear an ounce of good weed goes for $200
