CNN project Obama has more than enough Electoral votes to win as of today
CNN updated it's electoral map to put Virginia in the "leans Obama" column today. Obama is up by 10 points in Virginia, which hasn't gone Democratic in decades. Adding Virginia's 13 electoral votes to Obama's tally puts him at 277, which is more than the 270 required to win. Other updates to the map were to make the Obama lead more solid and McCain's votes more tenuous --- New Jersey went from ??lean Obama? to ??safe Obama,? (more solid) and North Dakota moves from ??safe McCain? to ??lean McCain? (more tenuous).
It's still 3 weeks to the election, and there is one more debate tonight, so things could still change, but I think Obama has a pretty solid lead. McCain would have to knock him out in the debate or bring some other kind of major game-changer in order to reverse the trend. As long as the Democrats do not get complacent and don't make any major mistakes, I think Obama will win.
The CNN electoral map is in a sticky at the top of the Politics Forum if you want to see the details. Here is a link to the map thread: http://boards.cannabis.com/politics/...alculator.html
Here is the article about the change to the map:
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CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - Electoral Map Update: A red state swings toward Obama « - Blogs from CNN.com
Electoral Map Update: A red state swings toward Obama
(CNN) ?? For the first time in the election cycle, CNN??s Electoral Map shows Democrat Barack Obama moving over the 270 electoral vote threshold needed to win the White House. The hotly contested state of Virginia moves from ??tossup? to ??lean Obama.? North Dakota moves from ??safe McCain? to ??lean McCain,? and New Jersey moves from ??lean Obama? to ??safe Obama.?
As a result, 13 electoral votes swing from the tossup column to the Obama column. Obama now leads McCain by 103 electoral votes, up from 90 when the CNN Electoral Map was last updated on October 7. CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 277 electoral votes and John McCain 174. There are 87 electoral votes up for grabs. Again, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.
Obama continues to make gains on the Electoral Map ?? and chip away at McCain's territory ?? thanks to results from states that typically support Republican presidential candidates.
"Virginia hasn't gone Democratic in 44 years," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "But a number of polls ?? including our own ?? now show Obama up double digits there. And, as the map shows, if Obama holds that lead, it may be enough to put him into the White House. Conversely, McCain really can't afford to lose Virginia's 13 electoral votes. That state is a key part of the Republican electoral coalition."
The GOP ticket has spent much of the week stumping in traditionally red states where Obama seems poised for an unexpectedly strong showing, including Virginia and North Carolina. A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll released earlier Wednesday showed Obama with a 10 point lead In Virginia.
Election Center: View the latest state polls
"Of course, it's important to remember that the CNN Electoral Map is a snapshot in time," said Silverleib. "We are not predicting an Obama win on Election Day. We still have twenty days to go, and that's an eternity in politics."
The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.
CNN project Obama has more than enough Electoral votes to win as of today
there is still time for mccain to steal victory from the jaws of defeat...he's got obama exactly where he wants him: over 10 points ahead in the polls!
"Senator Obama is measuring the drapes, and planning with Speaker Pelosi and Senator Reid to raise taxes, increase spending, take away your right to vote by secret ballot in labor elections, and concede defeat in Iraq. But they forgot to let you decide. My friends, we??ve got them just where we want them."
- John McCain, October 13, 2008, misunderestimating the difference between a tactic and a strategy
CNN project Obama has more than enough Electoral votes to win as of today
Quote:
Originally Posted by maladroit
there is still time for mccain to steal victory from the jaws of defeat...he's got obama exactly where he wants him: over 10 points ahead in the polls!
"Senator Obama is measuring the drapes, and planning with Speaker Pelosi and Senator Reid to raise taxes, increase spending, take away your right to vote by secret ballot in labor elections, and concede defeat in Iraq. But they forgot to let you decide. My friends, we??ve got them just where we want them."
- John McCain, October 13, 2008, misunderestimating the difference between a tactic and a strategy
Ha ha! Reminds me of how in the primaries Giuliani kept talking about "lulling them into a false sense of security!"
Got 'em right where we want 'em!
