Should i go smoke?

Ok it's 20 to 1 AM and all my family are in bed except my brother who is out. I keep hearing them go to the bathroom and stuff so they're not quite asleep. I would say theres about a 1/15 chance that one of them will come downstairs before half 1 and a 1/3 chance my brother will come home before half 1.

My 3 choices are :

-Smoking in my back garden below my mums room where theres probably a 1/10 chance that she will hear me.

-Going for a walk with about a 1/25 chance of meeting police, 1/4 chance of meeting somebody else ( 1 in 3 chance they will be dodgy) and also a 1/5 chance my parents will know i went out and will ask why.

I could go to bed and remain 100% safe and know there is a 1/2 chance i will be smoking while playing golf tomorrow.

What do you guys think?

are you a mathmetition (sp)? damn, um, i thought about this the other night and was all worried about someone coming down the stairs but i ws like screw it so i just went rightoutside me side garage door and blazed up then i came back in packed another bowl and blazed that one. i say go smoke but if you really do think you're gonn get caught then don't. if you do then you'll come in and forget that you were ever worried about being caught.

wow.....you like fractions dont you? MATH IS POWER!!

open a window, blow it out *****

you are waaaaay too paranoid buddy

lol....the threads I see lately are oh so funnay.

where the fuck are u coming up with these probabilities?

just smoke

im back!

haha, the roach goes into the garden waste bin!

Someone does math packets for fun.

haha well 2/3rds says I wouldn't do it, 1/3rd says what the hell and fucking go for it