free market says 84% chance obama will be president

[maladroit]

the invisible hand knows all!

Intrade Prediction Markets (http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/trading/t_index.jsp)

[bigtopsfinn]

Maybe that "If the world could vote" poll was right after all...
If the world could vote? (http://www.iftheworldcouldvote.com/results)

[JakeMartinez]

That actually sounds reasonable.

Obama's leading in the state polls and a lot of electoral projections show him over the 270 mark without any battleground states. The only way for McCain to win is to almost sweep the battleground states and steal at least one big one from Obama.

[killerweed420]

I want to see a national poll about whether Obama will be alive at the end of his 4 years.lol Or maybe a poll as to how many attempts are going to made on his life.
I know its not funny but I would be interested in the national poll results.

[flyingimam]

RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/)

shows a pretty good map

the worse case for almost everyone will be that neither will get 270, thats the best thing mccain can achieve in my idea looking at everything factually and without any "special" circumstances 24 hours before nov 4th

in which case, house of reps will choose who will be the president, which will most likely still have a dem majority even after the election

i wont like this scenario, i want to know my destiny and cant go thru another few months of this frustrating shit: pain once, death once! even if its gonna be mccain, i rather get over this whole thing by nov 4th and know whats up

[JakeMartinez]

You know, according to that map, Obama would only need to win 32 electoral votes from the Lean Obama and Toss-Up states. On the other hand, McCain would have to win all of his Lean states, sweep the Toss-Ups, AND take a few of Obama's leaning states to win.